Magic vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks – Dec. 5

The Orlando Magic (13-9) are welcoming in the Miami Heat (14-8) for a matchup of Southeast Division rivals at Kia Center on December 5, 2025. It’s the second matchup between the teams this year. Friday’s matchup between the Magic and the Heat features the Magic as 5.5-point favorites. The point total for the matchup is 241.5.

Here’s everything you need to know to know about the Magic-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Magic vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, December 5, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Kia Center in Orlando, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSFL
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Magic vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Under (241.5)
Score Prediction: Magic 121 – Heat 117

Magic vs. Heat Betting Insights

• This year, the Magic games have gone over 241.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, seven (out of 22) times.
• This year, 12 of the Heat’s 22 total matchups have gone over 241.5 total points scored.
• These two teams average 242.8 points per game combined, 1.3 more than the over/under of 241.5.
• The Magic and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 8.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 241.5 set for this matchup.
• Orlando has been chosen as the favorite in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (58.8%) in those games.
• Miami has won in seven, or 58.3%, of the 12 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Orlando has taken its lone head-to-head matchup against Miami.
• The Heat have an advantage against the spread (1-0) when taking the court against the Magic.

Magic Recent Trends

• The Magic are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games.
• Orlando and its opponents have combined to score an average of 227.9 points over its last 10 games, 13.6 less than the 241.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Magic’s 22 games this season, they have 11 wins against the spread.
• This season, Orlando has just two ATS wins in nine games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• Magic games this year have hit the over 59.1% of the time (13 out of 22 games with a set point total).
• The Magic put up 119.2 points per game, only 0.8 more points than the 118.4 the Heat allow.
• Orlando has an 8-4 record against the spread and a 10-2 record overall when putting up more than 118.4 points.
• This season, the Magic have a 47.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.4% higher than the 44.2% of shots the Heat’s opponents have hit.
• The Magic have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered five times in 12 games when playing at home, and they’ve covered six times in 10 games on the road.
• Orlando has exceeded the over/under in six of 12 home games (50%). It has fared better in away games, going over the total in seven of 10 matchups (70%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Magic have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.636) compared to away games (.500).

Magic Recent Stats

Magic Leaders

• Franz Wagner posts 23.0 points, 6.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Desmond Bane averages 19.0 points, 4.6 assists and 4.5 boards per contest.
• Wendell Carter Jr. posts 12.0 points, 2.0 assists and 7.6 boards per contest.
• Anthony Black averages 13.1 points, 2.9 assists and 3.4 rebounds.
• Jalen Suggs averages 14.1 points, 4.7 assists and 3.9 boards.

Magic Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 1.3 points fewer than the 241.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Heat have 13 wins against the spread in 22 games this year.
• So far this year, Miami has been installed as underdogs by a 5.5-point margin or more six times and are 3-2-1 ATS in those contests.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in 13 of 22 opportunities (59.1%).
• The Heat put up an average of 123.6 points per game, 9.3 more points than the 114.3 the Magic give up to opponents.
• When it scores more than 114.3 points, Miami is 12-4 against the spread and 11-5 overall.
• The Heat are shooting 47.9% from the field, 0.6% higher than the 47.3% the Magic’s opponents have shot this season.
• The Heat have been better against the spread at home (8-4-0) than on the road (5-4-1) this year.
• Miami’s games have finished above the over/under less often at home (six times out of 12) than away (seven of 10) this year.
• This season the Heat are 7-2 at home as moneyline favorites (.778 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-1 (.000).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Kel’el Ware gets the Heat 12.2 points, 10.6 rebounds and 0.6 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocked shots.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. He’s making 50.8% of his shots from the field.
• Norman Powell gives the Heat 25.0 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game while delivering 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Andrew Wiggins is averaging 17.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game. He is draining 47.7% of his shots from the field and 36.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 treys per game.
• The Heat are receiving 9.7 points, 2.8 rebounds and 7.8 assists per game from Davion Mitchell this year.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.