by
Bradley Gibbs
in
ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
In Madrid on Saturday, Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan will clash. The Russian will be playing at this tournament for the first time in 2026, while his Hungarian opponent has already played a match in Madrid. Since he’s already had a chance to get used to the conditions in the Spanish capital, Marozsan could have a slight preparation edge, but is that preparation edge enough to bridge the gap in quality? Probably not.
Medvedev has a fantastic record on clay courts against players of Marozsan’s record in recent seasons, while Marozsan is far from consistent, so we shouldn’t be surprised if he flounders here, despite winning last time out. More often than not, Daniil Medvedev would be something like -303 to win this match. The early market seems to be understimating the chances of the world number ten, who is well worth betting on to get the job done at inflated early odds of -189.
